Paper-trading ledger
Fake $100 bets logged for every signal with |edge| ≥ 5pp. Resolved against actual close prices. No real money.
Open
28
Settled
161
Win rate
88.8%
143W / 18L
Total P&L
+$3,934.44
ROI
+24.4%
Mean P&L / bet
+$24.44
Mean |edge| on winners
+14.48pp
Mean |edge| on losers
+11.84pp
Recent settled (20 of 161)
| Result | Ticker | Side | Strike | Actual close | Edge entry | P&L | Close date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | SPY | YES (above) | $730.00 | $736.79 | +8.30pp | +$19.76 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | AAPL | YES (above) | $290.00 | $298.00 | +7.48pp | +$8.11 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | META | NO (above) | $630.00 | $602.72 | -7.24pp | +$8.70 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | NVDA | YES (above) | $220.00 | $223.71 | +7.16pp | +$78.57 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | SPY | NO (above) | $740.00 | $736.79 | -6.68pp | +$47.06 | 2026-05-19 |
| LOSS | META | YES (above) | $610.00 | $602.72 | +6.45pp | $-100.00 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | SPY | YES (above) | $725.00 | $736.79 | +6.25pp | +$7.53 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | MSFT | YES (above) | $410.00 | $418.96 | +5.96pp | +$6.38 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | AMZN | YES (above) | $255.00 | $258.58 | +49.14pp | +$97.24 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | TSLA | NO (above) | $440.00 | $403.31 | -47.43pp | +$90.29 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | AAPL | NO (above) | $305.00 | $298.00 | -45.00pp | +$88.50 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | META | YES (above) | $590.00 | $602.72 | +17.60pp | +$21.36 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | AMZN | NO (above) | $265.00 | $258.58 | -10.39pp | +$140.96 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | SPY | NO (above) | $745.00 | $736.79 | -8.60pp | +$15.61 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | TSLA | NO (above) | $430.00 | $403.31 | -8.04pp | +$9.83 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | SPY | YES (above) | $735.00 | $736.79 | +6.48pp | +$30.72 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | NVDA | NO (above) | $225.00 | $223.71 | -19.36pp | +$55.04 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | NVDA | NO (above) | $230.00 | $223.71 | -18.38pp | +$24.22 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | AAPL | NO (above) | $300.00 | $298.00 | -17.40pp | +$22.70 | 2026-05-19 |
| WIN | TSLA | NO (above) | $420.00 | $403.31 | -16.11pp | +$22.70 | 2026-05-19 |